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Aris Thessalonikis vs Levadiakos prediction for a tense finale
Aris Thessalonikis vs Levadiakos prediction time is here, and the calendar is easy: 2026-05-17 at 15:00 GMT, at Kleanthis Vikelidis in Thessaloniki. It is the last matchday of the 5-8 playoff group, which usually comes with a European prize. This time, it comes mostly with bragging rights, because OFI’s Greek Cup win has removed the European ticket that these places often chase. So yes, it is “only prestige”… the kind that coaches still lose sleep over.
What is at stake and why the mood still matters
Levadiakos arrive on top of this mini-table with 31 points, while Aris sit just behind on 28. It means the finishing order is still in play, and both teams have reasons to push: Levadiakos want to prove their season is no fluke, and Aris want to end a strong spring with a statement in front of their crowd.
Aris come in flying. Four straight playoff wins tell you they have found rhythm and focus at the perfect time, even if the “prize” is symbolic. Their latest win, a 2-1 away result at Volos on May 13, was a good example of how assertive they can be in the final third: they hit the woodwork three times, scored through Martin Hongla, and also forced an own goal with sustained pressure. When a team is creating that many decisive moments, it usually means the spacing and timing in attack are working.
Levadiakos, meanwhile, have been the pleasant surprise of the season and they reinforced that label in wild style on May 13. Down 0-2 to OFI until the 90th minute, they took advantage of an OFI red card and produced a three-goal storm in stoppage time to win 3-2 (Ozegovic 90+2’, then Nikas and Pedroso). That is not “normal football,” but it is also not pure luck: it shows belief, fitness, and a bench that can change tempo late.
Tactical feel: control without domination
Expect a match that looks balanced in control. The projection has Levadiakos slightly ahead on ball possession (49% Aris, 51% Levadiakos), but Aris are forecast to create more volume: 14 total shots to 8, and 4 shots on target to 2. That combination often points to a game where the away side circulates the ball, while the home side gets to the more dangerous zones more often.
- Game management could be decisive: only 6 total corners are expected (4-2), suggesting phases of play may be compact rather than end-to-end.
- Discipline looks standard with 2 yellow cards each projected, so the referee may not become the main character.
- Squad value gap is real: Aris at €33.05m versus Levadiakos at €13.42m, a reminder of the deeper options available to the home side.
The recent head to head also hints at fine margins. They drew 2-2 on 2026-01-25, and both teams will remember how quickly that matchup swung. Also, both have already frustrated Olympiakos in 0-0 draws despite Olympiakos being heavy favorites in the betting odds (1.51 vs Aris, 1.53 vs Levadiakos). If you needed proof these teams can suffer without breaking, there it is.
AI picks, betting odds, and how they connect
For the main market, the betting odds stand at 1.97 for a home win, 3.4 for the draw, and 4.2 for an away win. Our model’s safest angle is 1X (Aris win or draw) at 1.24, carrying a strong trust score of 8.5/10. In plain terms: Aris at home plus better shot creation makes it hard to see them losing, even if Levadiakos keep the ball a bit more.
The straight 1X2 call is also leaning home: Aris to win (1) with confidence 7.1 and odds of 1.97. That lines up neatly with the expected match stats: more shots, more on-target efforts, and a slightly higher corner count usually translate into the better chance of grabbing the key goal.
For total goals, the AI backs under 3.4 goals at 1.37, though the confidence is lower (4.1). That caution makes sense: Levadiakos can be stubborn, Aris have had matches where they dominate without a big scoreline, and the projections do not scream “goal festival.” Still, the predicted final score sits at 2:1, with a 1:0 half-time lean, which fits a game where Aris start fast, then need to manage a late push.
So, the bottom line for this Aris Thessalonikis vs Levadiakos prediction is simple: Aris are the more likely side to avoid defeat, and they have a credible path to all three points. Just do not expect a calm afternoon—Levadiakos have already shown they can turn “dead and buried” into “check the rulebook, is this allowed?” in a matter of minutes.
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Best Tip
The best betting football prediction for Aris T vs Levadiakos1X -417
Aris T to win or draw with odds of -4171x2 Tip
1 -103
Aris T is expected to win with odds of -103Total Goals
Under 3.5 -270
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchBoth Teams To Score
Yes -128
Both teams are expected to scoreBet Builder Tip
1X&U4.5 -217
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goalsCorrect Score
2:1
Stats Predictions
Average / Match
Overview Last 10 Matches
Head to Head
|
|
7
-
6
-
4
|
|
Latest Matches
 Aris T |
25-Jan-26
2:2
| Levadiakos  |
| Aris T |
03-Nov-24
3:1
| Levadiakos |
| Aris T |
11-Jan-23
1:0
| Levadiakos |
| Aris T |
21-Aug-22
3:0
| Levadiakos |
| Aris T |
29-Jan-12
2:1
| Levadiakos |
| Aris T |
10-Mar-13
4:0
| Levadiakos |
| Aris T |
15-Sep-13
1:1
| Levadiakos |
| Aris T |
17-Sep-18
2:0
| Levadiakos |
| Levadiakos |
05-Apr-26
1:1
| Aris T |
| Levadiakos |
26-Oct-25
1:1
| Aris T |
Recent Matches of Aris T
| 17 May | W |
Aris T
| 3 |
Levadiakos
| 0 |
| 13 May | W |
Volos NFC
| 1 |
Aris T
| 2 |
| 10 May | W |
Aris T
| 3 |
OFI
| 1 |
| 03 May | W |
OFI
| 0 |
Aris T
| 2 |
| 18 Apr | W |
Aris T
| 3 |
Volos NFC
| 2 |
| 05 Apr | D |
Levadiakos
| 1 |
Aris T
| 1 |
| 22 Mar | L |
Aris
| 0 |
OFI Crete
| 2 |
| 14 Mar | D |
Panserraikos
| 0 |
Aris
| 0 |
| 07 Mar | D |
Aris
| 0 |
Atromitos
| 0 |
| 01 Mar | L |
Panathinaikos
| 3 |
Aris
| 1 |
Recent Matches Of Levadiakos
| 17 May | L | Aris T |
3 | Levadiakos |
0 |
| 13 May | W | Levadiakos |
3 |  OFI |
2 |
| 10 May | W |  Volos NFC |
0 | Levadiakos |
3 |
| 03 May | W | Levadiakos |
5 | Volos NFC |
2 |
| 18 Apr | L | OFI |
2 | Levadiakos |
0 |
| 05 Apr | D | Levadiakos |
1 | Aris T |
1 |
| 22 Mar | W | Levadiakos |
1 |  Atromitos |
0 |
| 15 Mar | L |  PAOK |
3 | Levadiakos |
0 |
| 08 Mar | L | Levadiakos |
1 |  Panathinaikos |
4 |
| 28 Feb | L |  Kifisia |
1 | Levadiakos |
0 |
Greece - Super League 1
| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Levadiakos | 31 | 63-44 | 31 |
| 2 |
Aris | 31 | 31-32 | 28 |
| 3 |
OFI | 31 | 40-54 | 20 |
| 4 |
Volos NFC | 31 | 32-52 | 17 |
